Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.005928 0.006779 0.007765 0.009005 0.010541 0.012409 0.014895
2026-01-18 0.004804 0.005855 0.007193 0.009067 0.011705 0.015425 0.021351
2026-01-25 0.004062 0.005149 0.006615 0.008820 0.012214 0.017562 0.027433
2026-02-01 0.003499 0.004555 0.006040 0.008390 0.012256 0.018904 0.032809
2026-02-08 0.003079 0.004090 0.005558 0.007977 0.012180 0.019965 0.038201
2026-02-15 0.002872 0.003900 0.005444 0.008106 0.013029 0.022997 0.049994
2026-02-22 0.002636 0.003637 0.005179 0.007927 0.013258 0.024853 0.060420
2026-03-01 0.002421 0.003383 0.004895 0.007664 0.013257 0.026194 0.070706
2026-03-08 0.002250 0.003181 0.004671 0.007474 0.013357 0.027826 0.084030
2026-03-15 0.002174 0.003121 0.004676 0.007707 0.014421 0.032469 0.117330
2026-03-22 0.002120 0.003092 0.004730 0.008041 0.015810 0.038888 0.176727
2026-03-29 0.002076 0.003074 0.004798 0.008412 0.017408 0.047170 0.286256
2026-04-05 0.001969 0.002949 0.004675 0.008396 0.018103 0.053235 0.429460
2026-04-12 0.001875 0.002841 0.004574 0.008417 0.018941 0.060942 0.711260
2026-04-19 0.001763 0.002692 0.004378 0.008193 0.018996 0.065271 1.049398
2026-04-26 0.001644 0.002521 0.004127 0.007805 0.018439 0.066132 1.350294
2026-05-03 0.001537 0.002367 0.003895 0.007431 0.017847 0.066488 1.720962
2026-05-10 0.001491 0.002317 0.003867 0.007548 0.018917 0.078138 4.577036
2026-05-17 0.001420 0.002220 0.003735 0.007386 0.018983 0.083594 10.002759
2026-05-24 0.001348 0.002116 0.003580 0.007148 0.018717 0.086552 21.909401
2026-05-31 0.001287 0.002030 0.003456 0.006975 0.018656 0.091341 89.775019
2026-06-07 0.001265 0.002014 0.003477 0.007187 0.020156 0.112960 NaN
2026-06-14 0.001251 0.002013 0.003529 0.007489 0.022188 0.147285 NaN